阿根廷可能成为中国VN1 APC在当地的营销员。来源：北方工业
继2月5日中、阿领导人在北京举行峰会，随后发布的公报，可能已经确认了之前报道的军事项目，但大多数还没有签署合同。
公报中提到的项目，也是中、阿合作联合委员会以前就国防、技术和产业领域讨论的主题。在海军领域，已证实的项目包括中国为阿根廷建设破冰船，拖船和海上巡逻船。后者可能是1800吨的P-18N护卫舰，据报道，其中两艘将在中国建造，三艘则在阿根廷。
陆军方面证实的项目包括，军官的交换、野战医院建设，以及北方工业在阿合资的8×8 VN1两栖装甲车（APC）。在2月5日的电视采访中，阿根廷国防部长罗西称，阿根廷打算向其他拉丁国家推销VN1。如果这笔交易达成的话，可能意味着阿根廷对购买巴西VBTP-MR瓜拉尼轮式APC失去兴趣。
阿根廷方面的报道在峰会前没有提到，公报宣布的“以阿根廷公司参与的中国战机工作组”。来自阿根廷的报道显示，峰会重点讨论了可能出售14架成都J-10 / FC-1枭龙战机。阿根廷飞机制造厂——FAdeA告诉IHS，他们的兴趣在联合生产FC-1，开辟其他拉美国家的销售市场。
然而，据阿根廷其他来源信息指出，对于后勤维护连续性而言，阿根廷空军更喜欢欧洲战机，例如法国达索“幻影2000”或前西班牙空军“幻影F1”战斗机。来源信息还指出，阿根廷空军支付不起中国战机，除非他们有其它商品付款计划。
此外，双方还有一份单独公报，阐释中、阿具战略意义的空间合作。中国将在阿根廷南部省份内乌肯构建和配置一座新的空间跟踪和控制站，占地约200公顷的配套设施。
对于中国而言，随着卫星网络，载人空间站和月球计划不断延展，这个站点在南半球为中国全球地面跟踪和控制提供了一个关键节点。阿根廷消息指出，布宜诺斯艾利斯一个关键的交换条件是将从中国强大的侦察卫星网获得战略信息。
然而考虑到阿根廷可疑的支付能力、中国是否会为大宗商品方式支付提供优惠、或意图深化关系支撑这一南美战略支点，中、阿军事关系的现实情况依然充满不确定性。
中国现在已经在讨论向阿根廷各装备部门出售新武器系统。虽然100辆或更多的装甲运兵车，五艘护卫舰、或14架新战机，可能不会明显改变阿根廷与邻国的力量平衡，或阿根廷对福克兰群岛（马尔维纳斯群岛）的雄心，但这标志着中国军方出口开始有了更多实质性的进展。
结合战略空间合作前景，这可能会改变拉美洲的力量平衡，增加中国在该地区的军事影响力。此外，联合生产计划，阿根廷成为北方工业APC的营销员，以及潜在的低成本战机，可能会使中国在拉丁美洲首次占得重大军事商业“滩头阵地”。
报道同时指出，2月5日的防务公报触碰到了巴西——这位雄心要做地区性军事技术领导者的红线。巴西曾寻求通过与阿根廷的军事协议合作，如FAdeA为巴西航空工业公司KC-390生产零件来击败竞争者。
原文：
Analysis: China looks to break into Latin American market via Argentina
Richard D Fisher Jr, Washington, DC
IHS Jane's Defence Weekly
10 February 2015
Argentina could become a local marketer for China's VN1 APC. Source: Norinco
The 5 February communique that followed a summit meeting in Beijing between the leaders of China and Argentina may have affirmed a number of previously reported military programmes, but most have yet to produce contracts.
The programmes mentioned in the communique had previously been the subject of discussions under an Argentine-Chinese Joint Committee on Cooperation in the field of Defence, Technology, and Industry. In the naval sphere, those affirmed include the construction by China of a new icebreaker, new tugboats and new offshore patrol vessels. The latter are likely to be 1,800-ton P-18N corvettes, two of which reportedly will be built in China and up to three in Argentina.
Army programmes affirmed include the exchange of officers, construction of field hospitals, and the co-production in Argentina of Norinco 8x8 VN1 amphibious armoured personnel carriers (APCs). In a 5 February TV interview, Argentine Minister of Defence Augustin Rossi said Argentina intended to market the VN1 to other Latin countries. If this deal materialises it will likely mean the end of Argentina's interest in purchasing Brazil's VBTP-MR Guarani wheeled APC, a co-produced version of the IVECO Superav.
Not mentioned in the pre-summit reporting out of Argentina was the communique's announcement of a new "working group with a view to the incorporation by Argentina of Chinese designed fighter jets".
Argentine reports from the summit indicated discussions focused on the possible sale of 14 Chengdu J-10/FC-1 fighters built in China. Sources at the Fabrica Argentina de Aviones (Argentine Aircraft Factory, FAdeA) had previously told IHS Jane's of their interest in co-producing the FC-1, raising the prospect that it would also be marketed to other Latin countries.
However other Argentine sources note that for logistic continuity the Argentine Air Force prefers European designs such as used French Dassault Mirage 2000s or ex-Spanish Air Force Mirage F1 fighters, both the subject of recent discussions. These sources also note that the Argentine Air Force cannot afford the Chinese fighters unless they are funded under other commodity payment schemes.
Also of strategic significance for Argentina and China was a separate communique that outlined space co-operation. China will build and man a new space tracking and control station on a 200 hectare facility in the southern Argentine province of Neuquen.
For China this facility provides a vital deep southern hemisphere node for global ground-based tracking and control, which is needed to manage its growing satellite networks, manned space stations, and lunar programme. Argentine sources note that a crucial quid-pro-quo is that Buenos Aires will gain access to strategic information from China's formidable surveillance satellite constellation.
While uncertainties abound regarding the reality of Sino-Argentine military relations, especially given Argentina's questionable ability to pay for new equipment programmes outside of Chinese concessional loans funded by payments in commodities, ambitions point toward a deepening relationship.
China is now at least in discussions to sell Argentina new weapon systems for each of its armed services. While 100 or more APCs, up to five corvettes, or 14 new fighters may not significantly alter the balance of power with Argentina's neighbours or in regards to Argentina's ambitions to take the Falkland Islands (Malvinas), this could also mark the beginning for more substantive Chinese military exports.
This, combined with the prospect for strategic space co-operation, creates a possible shift in the balance of power in Latin America and increase China's military influence in the region. Furthermore, plans to transfer the means for Argentina to become a marketer of Norinco APCs, and potentially low-cost fighter aircraft, could give China its first significant military-commercial "beachhead" in Latin America.
Reports suggest that the defence elements of the 5 February communique have angered Brazil, which has ambitions to become a regional leader in military technology. Brazil has sought to outflank competitors through co-operative military deals with Argentina, such as FAdeA's production of parts for the new Embraer KC-390.
http://www.janes.com/article/488 ... arket-via-argentina
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